Are we ready for the next gravitational-wave observing runs? – October 21, 2025

Fig. 1: The illustration shows the distribution of galaxies in the sky that could host gravitational-wave sources and the measured sky location for three future gravitational-wave observatories – shown using contours – if inaccurate models are used. All three observatories miss the true host galaxy—shown in yellow—which is important for an accurate estimation of the universe’s expansion rate and age. © A. Dhani (Max Planck Institute for Gravitational Physics)
A study by AEI researchers reveals how even the most advanced waveform models can introduce systematic errors when used to measure key properties of black holes.
To the point:
- Researchers use state-of-the-art waveform models to infer the masses, spins, and location of black holes from simulated gravitational-wave events in order to prepare for future observations.
- The models often misestimate these values, particularly when one or both black holes are processing similar to a spinning top, or when their masses differ significantly.
- These inaccuracies can mislead our understanding of how black hole systems form and evolve, and they may affect measurements used to estimate the expansion rate of the Universe.









































































































